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Third Thoughts

@thirdthoughts.bsky.social

Ex-academic political scientist/theorist.πŸ³οΈβ€βš§οΈ rights are human rights. Nuance > Hot Takes. Youtube vids on political history and philosophy. Occasional blog post. YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ThirdThoughtsYT

689 Followers  |  161 Following  |  3,938 Posts  |  Joined: 18.10.2023  |  2.3116

Latest posts by thirdthoughts.bsky.social on Bluesky

Per Reuters: Disney investing $1 billion in OpenAI and allowing Sora to use Marvel, Star Wars, Pixar characters. Target start date early 2026.

It begins...

11.12.2025 14:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Eggnog is so good. That's it, that's the post.

10.12.2025 04:04 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 2

Been wondering something similar, except for semi-realistic climate change and people basically abandoning the tropics, dealing with oceanic anoxia, etc.

10.12.2025 02:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Looking at CA special election results and Darrell Issa must be shitting his pants. Blue wave incoming baby.

10.12.2025 02:19 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The rare instance where I am pro-criminalization. Willful child neglect is abuse, and abusers have to face consequences. Its the only way to stop them from making excuses.

And yes, we need to stop the grifters too. There are exceptions to the first amendment, sorry.

09.12.2025 16:42 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hells to the yeah

09.12.2025 16:37 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

But I thought the only point of military was make thing go boom. Cheap way make things boom is better yes?

09.12.2025 04:43 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

And THIS is why not all books need to be shelved in YA, people!

07.12.2025 08:25 β€” πŸ‘ 479    πŸ” 60    πŸ’¬ 32    πŸ“Œ 3

This falls new hit isekai

07.12.2025 13:43 β€” πŸ‘ 47    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 0

The more I look at this monstrosity, the worse it gets. Its the girt that keeps on taking (limbs, spare digits, probosci, tentacles, your soul...)

07.12.2025 04:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Oh god the more I look the worse it gets

07.12.2025 04:45 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

r/DIWhy

07.12.2025 04:35 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a woman wearing a black jacket with a leopard print collar is smiling ALT: a woman wearing a black jacket with a leopard print collar is smiling

How many Christmas songs can Bahrbara have?

07.12.2025 04:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I make one comment about manufacturing and now Ed is looking at buying 3kW lasers

07.12.2025 04:09 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Also me: Christ I need a planer.

07.12.2025 04:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a robot with the number 31 bf on it ALT: a robot with the number 31 bf on it

Some of us joint with a square and a cheap Japanese plane the way Tom intended.

Meanwhile, you:

07.12.2025 04:09 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 06.12.2025 20:45 β€” πŸ‘ 802    πŸ” 147    πŸ’¬ 17    πŸ“Œ 5

This is a legitimately interesting take, and shifts the problems with prequel Anakin from acting to scripting... which, given the scripting is what is more in control of LucasFilms, makes a lot of sense.

A big part of the problemnwas the jarring shift from baby anakin to the older depressed teen.

07.12.2025 00:40 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

OK but Cinemark having a P/E of 34 is wild.

07.12.2025 00:32 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

In theory, if they were focused on their actual job re: *customs* enforcement, sniffing dogs make sense.

In practice right now, yeah its mostly the slave catching thing.

07.12.2025 00:26 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The shift in these is from very to somewhat important. Given the COVID shock thats not surprising.

07.12.2025 00:21 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Devil is in the details on this one. If you look at the results, the shift is from "very" to "somewhat" important. And much of this is responding to the COVID shock.

For patriotism and religion, "somewhat" is better than "very." Remains to be seen how connected those are to community post-COVID.

07.12.2025 00:20 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Even on the Cambridge bike-walk paths its 50/50 they use the bell

06.12.2025 19:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

A little dependent on the exact kind of sidewalk, but assuming major metro, I probably agree.

That said, the momentum calculations are somewhat favorable to the "its ok to shift risk" argument, just given the sheer mass of cars. But I think it also confuses traffic more, which wins the tie.

06.12.2025 19:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It turns out that the number of asshole cyclists is normally distributed. So you will find examples of both.

Hence: dedicated infrastructure and also enforcing rules vis-a-vis being a vehicle.

06.12.2025 19:47 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

*majority = majority of those in the group chat

And even more than that, a lot of people will just take cues from vocal high-status people in the chat. Just like they do with people on boards, fundraising committees, etc.

06.12.2025 19:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

People with vast amounts of money have a far easier time influencing those who want that money (and status) than the other way around.

And group chats are a great way to police majority and moderator norms, but a terrible way to change majority views.

06.12.2025 19:44 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Decline in share of Republicans who support vaccine requirement for children to attend public schools % of U.S. adults who say the following about childhood vaceines for measles, mumps and rubella (MMR)
U.s. adults
β€’ Rep/lean Rep
: Dem/lean Dom
82
82
83
Healthy children should be required to be vaccinated to attend
public schools because
or tre potental Tsk
for others
85
79
79
70
57
Parents should be able
to decide norto vaccinate
Their children. even it that
may create health risks for others
17
16
12
28
19 20
15
14
42
Jun
Oct Mar
'16
19 23
Oct Mar
16193
Note: Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown source. Survey conducter March 13-19. 20231
"Americans' Largely Positive Views of Childhood Vaccines Hold Steady"

Decline in share of Republicans who support vaccine requirement for children to attend public schools % of U.S. adults who say the following about childhood vaceines for measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) U.s. adults β€’ Rep/lean Rep : Dem/lean Dom 82 82 83 Healthy children should be required to be vaccinated to attend public schools because or tre potental Tsk for others 85 79 79 70 57 Parents should be able to decide norto vaccinate Their children. even it that may create health risks for others 17 16 12 28 19 20 15 14 42 Jun Oct Mar '16 19 23 Oct Mar 16193 Note: Respondents who did not give an answer are not shown source. Survey conducter March 13-19. 20231 "Americans' Largely Positive Views of Childhood Vaccines Hold Steady"

democratic leaders need to make a huge deal about the antivaxx insanity coming from RFK Jr.

like, in addition to being fucking insane, immoral, and dangerous, antivaxx is significantly less popular than even the most unpopular dem policies. we need to ceaselessly hammer them for it

06.12.2025 15:15 β€” πŸ‘ 319    πŸ” 85    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 4

You know they will!

06.12.2025 14:14 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So if the take is just "Public pensions should be 60/40 or 70/30 balanced funds instead of T-bills" why not just make that the take? Like, that's way harder to interpret as "actually its OK to threaten cuts to USPS to make them balance a budget." The context of the public discussion matters.

05.12.2025 21:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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