Nick Gourevitch

Great night for Dems. And proud of our team.

A lot of noise out there, but latest @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social shows Trump's economic ratings at a low, increasingly negative views of tariffs, continued negative sentiment on the economy, and people uneasy about their personal finances.

Trump's economic approval rating is the worst it's been since
@navigatorsurvey.bsky.social started tracking the metric way back in 2018. And his disapproval on handling inflation is 61% and on his handling tariffs at 59%.

Hard to pick which numbers are the worst for Trump in the latest NYT/Siena poll but it's probably that 50% of voters think he's made the economy worse and only 21% say he made it better, leaving him under water in terms of his economic approval (43% approve/55% disapprove).

Full report: t.co/8aibh6MEFw

62% of voters are feeling uneasy about their personal financial situations -- a shift since the early days of Trump's term.

Tariffs also dominating the negative conversation around Trump, which is at a new high. 78% report seeing/reading/hearing something negative about Trump recently.

Nearly three in five (58%) have an unfavorable view of tariffs and 55% oppose Trump's newest round of them. The strongest Trump supporters are holding out but the numbers with Independents are deeply net negative and Democrats universally consolidated against.

NEW: @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social survey fielded over the weekend puts Trump economic disapproval at 42% approve/55% disapprove (-13), which is tied for the worst he's ever had in this poll across both of his terms (Jan '19 after a prolonged gov't shutdown was the other time it was this low).

Musk and Tariffs in a tight polling battle over which can become the most unpopular albatross around Trump's neck... (Musk chart via Morning Consult and tariff chart via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social)

Musk becoming the clear the lightning rod. In a message test of various statements about GOP threatening Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, the clear top statement is about Musk saying Social Security is "the biggest Ponzi scheme of all time." Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social

The public becoming increasingly negative towards tariffs, and tariffs (along with high prices) are dominating the negative conversation around Trump's handling of the economy. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social

They were even incompetent in how they tried to break records laws by setting their disappearing messages to up to four weeks!

Most Americans Disapprove of Trump’s Handling of the Economy Polling report on the latest perceptions of President Trump and his handling of the economy

Full report: navigatorresearch.org/most-america...

And taking a step back, the biggest concerns voters have with Trump right now is Musk's cuts, though the impact of tariffs on costs is in second with independents and less diehard Trump voters.

Lots of fine print here, but this is a look at the most concerning aspects of the economy right now for people. Topping the list are egg prices, layoffs at critical gov't agencies, inflation generally, and tariffs increasing the costs of goods.

A plurality now feel this is Trump's economy (compared to Biden) -- 43% say Trump is more responsible for the current state of the economy, 37% Biden, and 14% equally responsible. This will no doubt only shift towards being Trump's economy as time moves on.

Three in five (61%) want the President and Congress focused on inflation, but only 28% say that is one of the top five issues they are currently focused on.

A majority of voters say the economy is getting worse. This question had dipped down to 37% after the election but is now around where it was for much of 2024.

New @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social report on Trump's handling of the economy out this AM. Half of voters say that Trump's economic policies since taking office have negatively impacted the economy vs. just a third who say positive.

Analysis: Why Trump’s greatest first-term strength may be his biggest second-term weakness | CNN Politics In President Donald Trump’s first White House term, public confidence in his handling of the economy was always among his greatest strengths. But in the early days of his second term, public views abo...

GSG President @nickgourevitch.bsky.social weighs in on how inflation and economic sentiment could shape Trump’s second term in CNN’s latest analysis.

Read more: www.cnn.com/2025/03/14/p...

Another day, another poll showing Donald Trump receiving very poor ratings on the main topic (the economy), the voters who swung towards him most wanted him to address. Via Quinnipiac:

Trump's cuts are uniting his opposition and siphoning off a portion of his base. Focusing on issues that do this is how Presidents become unpopular. Via today's CNN poll:

The negativity towards tariffs is not that complicated. 67% of voters say tariffs will make the costs of things they buy go up. 70% of voters think their costs are going up generally. All while inflation remains a top issue.

The latest @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social poll finds growing negativity towards tariffs, especially those against Mexico and Canada. Only those who strongly approve of Trump are positive - Independents and not-strong Trump voters are net negative.

Interesting look at where Musk's numbers are worse than Trump's... Among Trump voters, Musk's negatives are higher with non-college Trump voters and less politically engaged Trump voters. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social

@jessefferguson.bsky.social spot on with this:

“In every postmortem on 2024 or planning discussion for the years ahead, the fundamental question every Democrat should ask is: How will this help us grow?"

t.co/9xEPssHIws

Similarly, in terms of blowback on Trump, it helps to be specific. Voters view "Musk's involvement" or his "firing of government workers and attempting to close agencies" as much more negative than just generic "cuts to government spending."

Calling it "Musk's DOGE" instead of just DOGE, increases its negatives by 10 points. Via @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social

JD Vance’s statement that it’s not appeasement if the invaded country can’t win is both a jaw-dropping read of history and an open invitation to dictators across the world.