Peter Jacobs

And organizing tropical storm Erin.

Respectfully, it appears that Erin finally has her shit together.

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Map from National Hurricane Center showing the forecasted track of Tropical Storm Erin (5 PM EDT advisory). Center location: 16.3 N, 45.0 W Maximum Sustained Wind: 50 MPH Movement: West at 17 MPH

5 PM EDT advisory on Tropical Storm #Erin.

While currently expected to recurve out to sea and avoid the U.S. mainland, there's PLENTY of time for the overall circulation to expand, so the risk for dangerous swells and rip currents will increase along the entire eastern seaboard next week.

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Tropical cyclone Podul to make landfall in Taiwan soon

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Some blueckeck Twitter idiot complaining about being scared of teenagers in DC.

Look, it's easy to dunk on takes like this, and it might feel good in the short term. But at the same time it's important to understand that it's also morally right to do so. Ridiculous pissbaby stuff.

Pretty clear where this is heading.

What the Arctic Teaches Us About the Climate Crisis: A Conversation with Dr. Zachary Labe From weather blogs to world-class graphics, a leading young climate scientist helps us visualize a planet in flux.

What the Arctic Teaches Us About the Climate Crisis: A Conversation with Dr. Zachary Labe - chrisgloninger.substack.com/p/what-the-a...

(many thanks for the awesome conversation and article @climatechris.bsky.social, @davidthoreson.bsky.social, and @channingdutton.bsky.social)

xcancel.com/PenguinSix/s... Photographer seems to confirm the arrest?

FBI and Border Patrol officers arrest a man along the U Street... FBI and Border Patrol officers arrest a man along the U Street corridor during a federal law enforcement deployment to the nation's capital on August 10, 2025 in Washington, DC. U.S. President Donald....

www.gettyimages.com/detail/news-...

Not an article but the legit photo

This is a Strategy Cheese reference isn't it

We have to watch and communicate potential impacts as TS Erin strengthens. We will have updates daily and NOAA is preparing to mobilize the recon flights soon. We also update the NOAA Recon Plan of the Day (POD). 🧪

Mr. Rogers appearing in a window with the Sickos "Yes... Ha Ha Ha ... Yes!" Onion cartoon speech bubble.

Seeing all of the wonderful "Challenge: post your last photo taken in DC to show what a hellhole it is" skeets has me like

Image of an Australian man getting arrested, known as the Democracy Manifest meme.

"What is the charge? Sharing a sub? A succulent U Street sub?"

"JJA, come to this altar, and accept our thanks for the sacrifices you made for our nation. Accept these offerings of food, drink, scent, and fire, along with our gratitude. May they take the form that most pleases you. Lend us the strength of your sword arm. Guide us now in the hour of our peril."

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A line graph of July temperature anomalies, with a jagged bright red line growing from left to right across the page. The Y axis is labeled Temperature Anomaly in degrees Celsius, running from -.5 to 1. The X axis is labeled Year, running from 1880 to past 2000, with the line reaching 2025. Although the data line does not uniformly go up, with peaks and dips especially in the earlier years, the overall trend is rising temperatures. By 2023 the line is above the 1 degree Celsius point.

July 2025 comes in third hottest for NASA's GISTEMP surface instrumental record, behind only 2024 and 2023. 🧪⚒️

Data freely available from GISS: data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/

This history really should be taught in high schools. Here’s a letter from Sly Stallone to Brown & Williamson agreeing to put their cigarettes in 5 movies in exchange for $500,000 publishing.cdlib.org/ucpressebook.... @lettersofnote.com

Associated Film Promotions is pleased to announce that we have successfully negotiated placement of your tine products in the following film: SYNOPSIS: "Ghostbusters" is an outrageous comedy about a team of scientists who form a company to rid New York City of unwanted ghosts and spirits. Dr: Peter Venkman, Ray Stanz, and Egon Spengler are all experts in the fleld of parapsychology. They have perfected a revolutionary process in which they capture ghosts and lock them in a cement vault. Together, they rent an old firehouse and form a professional company called, "Ghostbusters." They advertise their service in the newspaper and on television and, very soon, they are inundated with calls. Their first assignment is to capture a roaming yellow vapor from a popular hotel. After successfully doing that, they get an ectoplasm that has been haunting a cargo plane. Over the weeks, business becomes so good that soon the vault is overflowing with many different types of spooks and spirits. One day, an ecology expert comes to the firehouse with a court order demanding the holding cell be opened up. He claims that they are polluting the environment Against all protests, the vault is opened, allowing a barrage of ghosts to attack the city. once again the Ghostbusters spring into action and battle all of the ghosts. After a long, hard struggle, the team finally wins and re-captures all of them, making New York City safe for people again.

Brown & Williamson (maker of Kool, Lucky Strike) paid to have cigarettes in Ghostbusters.

Here's an internal tobacco industry document from 1983 about that, obtained by the state of Minnesota during litigation over smoking-related illness in the 90s.

www.industrydocuments.ucsf.edu/tobacco/docs...

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A society that has scorned education for what it is—which is an investment in the generative value of human knowledge—and turned it into a purely transactional value, and only to the degree that it can create profits for corporations who are simultaneously trying to solve for human labor entirely.

Most LLMs are good at generating JavaScript or Python code but terrible for say Fortran or even R for anything remotely applied.

That doesn't stop them from outputting code that looks like Fotran or R.

Why do you think this might be, and do you think this has implications for ascribing cognition?

Will, I say this with respect as someone who doesn't have a bone to pick with you about other stuff. This is not something new or spooky about "AI", it's something we've contended with in machine learning for decades. Local surrogate models to interpret black box algorithm predictions for example.

Gonna fire one up for you and yours tonight
bsky.app/profile/pjac...

He was identified by a counterintelligence analyst, Sandra Grimes, who was once in charge of C.I.A. secretaries and clerks. In 1992, merging data from two spreadsheets, Ms. Grimes noticed that Mr. Ames made bank deposits of up to $9,000 on three occasions just after lunches with a Soviet Embassy official in Washington. “It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to tell what is going on here,” she exclaimed to her colleagues. “Rick is a goddamn Russian spy.”

rip sandy, you were a real one

Lab Leak Fever The COVID-19 Origin Theory that Sabotaged Science and Society

Happy August.

Here is a little surprise for everybody: The english version of my book is finally available. You can get it on Amazon. You can also read and listen to it on my blog, where I will release the book as freely accessible serialized novel.

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www.protagonist-science.com/p/lab-leak-f...

The MJO, a CCKW, & an Eq. Rossby Wave will pass over Africa the 2nd week of Aug, which will favor a series of strong waves entering the Atlantic in mid-Aug

Given the Atlantic’s stability issues, I don’t expect development right away but these may be a problem 2-3 weeks later (late Aug-early Sep)