Down, But Not Out? Russia’s Shifting Role in a Turbulent Middle East | International Crisis Group
This week on War & Peace, Olga is joined by Hanna Notte, Director for Eurasia at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies and Senior Associate at CSIS, to examine Russia’s shifting role in...
The always insightful @hannanotte.bsky.social joined me on this season's last episode of @crisisgroup.org's War & Peace podcast to discuss how Russia's role in the Middle East is & is not changing: A great ep, from implications of Iran & Syria events to the vagaries of Russian-Israeli relations.
28.07.2025 10:53 — 👍 11 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 0
Deterrence in Europe, Iran’s nuclear program, US & space, Russia’s view of UK & French arsenals & conventional deterrence of China in this week’s STAND newsletter, a project by @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social, on recent news & analyses to better #underSTAND #nuclear #space #deterrence & #threats 1/10
25.07.2025 07:03 — 👍 4 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 1
NATO’s “Brain Death” in The Hague
At the 2025 NATO Summit, allies pledged to raise defense spending to 5 percent of GDP. But spending targets alone ignore deeper issues. Europe must shift its focus to building capable, integrated mili...
Rightfully scathing verdict by @maxbergmann.bsky.social on the NATO summit.
"NATO and European leaders have decided to pretend that nothing has changed."
The UK buying into NATO nuclear sharing is part of this pretense, spending limited funds on a program that just increases dependence on the US.
26.06.2025 10:42 — 👍 352 🔁 114 💬 23 📌 7
„Der Begriff Drohnenwall suggeriert fälschlicherweise, es könnte eine einfache, günstige und flächendeckende Lösung zur Verteidigung der Nato-Ostflanke geben, die völlige Sicherheit bietet.“
25.06.2025 06:29 — 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 3 📌 0
NATO-Gipfel in Den Haag - Dr. Tobias Fella in ARD-Hörfunkinterviews
I gave interviews to hr Info and Radio Bremen, among others, discussing the Iran nuclear conflict and the NATO summit in The Hague. Both segments are available to listen to here. ifsh.de/news-detail/...
25.06.2025 06:10 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
"MdCN Ashore", or rather LCM launcher mockup demonstrated at the Paris Air Show.
Fouvre MLRS/TBM system also planned to have capability to fire longer-range missiles.
No matter what happens with ELSA, the French will likely deploy INF-range ground-launched weapons anyway.
17.06.2025 05:59 — 👍 6 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 1
3/ Having the Royal Air Force prepare for & be capable of handling, carrying, delivering & planning non-strategic nuclear use could make it easier in the long term to develop a (vastly more expensive & currently unviable) sovereign air-launched tactical nuclear leg, like France.
01.06.2025 04:56 — 👍 70 🔁 3 💬 3 📌 0
British fighter jets to carry nuclear bombs
American-made planes armed with tactical weapons would be the UK’s biggest defence expansion since the Cold War
1/ Very important signal that UK might return to air-launched tactical nuclear forces by buying F-35A and participating in US nuclear sharing arrangements. There had been indications that UK was preparing to be able to host B61 tactical nuclear weapons. www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/a...
01.06.2025 04:51 — 👍 204 🔁 41 💬 14 📌 5
Emmanuel Macron open to stationing French nuclear weapons in other European nations
French president in talks with Germany and Poland over whether warheads can protect them against Russia
"French President Emmanuel Macron said he was 'ready to open a discussion' with European allies about stationing France’s nuclear weapons on their soil, in an effort to beef up defences against Russia." www.ft.com/content/9623...
15.05.2025 06:51 — 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
📅 Den 2. Juni bereits vormerken! Um 13 Uhr stellen wir (@bicc.de, @ifshhamburg.bsky.social, @inef-duisburg.bsky.social, @prif.org) das #Friedensgutachten 2025 "Frieden retten!" auf der Bundespressekonferenz vor. Direkt danach gibt es das Friedensgutachten zum Download ➡️ www.friedensgutachten.de
13.05.2025 11:57 — 👍 12 🔁 9 💬 0 📌 1
On the one hand, it depends on this, and on the other hand, it also depends on the European allies.
14.04.2025 07:56 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
This perspective is problematic and fosters the impression that Trump somehow emerged as president out of nowhere. Such an interpretation is incorrect and certainly does not contribute to a sustainable engagement with the challenges facing Western societies. 2/2
10.04.2025 14:38 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Opinion | Trump’s isolationism will lead more nations to seek nuclear weapons
The “profound change of American geopolitics” could be the first step toward massive nuclear weapons proliferation.
In classic individualist fashion, much of the U.S. and European debate surrounding Trump tends to focus almost exclusively on individual figures, rather than addressing structural changes. 1/2 www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb...
10.04.2025 14:38 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Opinion | Trump’s isolationism will lead more nations to seek nuclear weapons
The “profound change of American geopolitics” could be the first step toward massive nuclear weapons proliferation.
Isolationism is not the appropriate term to describe current U.S. foreign policy in my view. It is misleading, particularly because many observers misunderstand how the concept is applied in the American context. www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb...
08.04.2025 18:19 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Current developments in the US are the result of structural transformations. Focusing on individual actors alone provides an incomplete picture. Furthermore, the idealized image of America held by many transatlanticists is a myth that has contributed to ineffective European policies toward the US.
07.04.2025 14:39 — 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
I wouldn't overestimate Rubio's appearance, as it takes place against the backdrop of structural changes in transatlantic relations. Rutte cheering for NATO is expected—it’s part of his job.
04.04.2025 07:39 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Taking the Pulse: Can Europeans Build Their Independent Extended Nuclear Deterrent?
Confronted with a U.S. disengagement and the Russian threat, Europeans are reconsidering their stance on nuclear deterrence. Given the capabilities of the French and British arsenals, can Europe devel...
If you feel like taking your mind off the tariffs, Ulrich Kühn, @profonderco.bsky.social, @hfayet.bsky.social, @andrewfutter.bsky.social, James Acton, @paulvanhooft.bsky.social, @bollfrass.bsky.social, George Perkovich, and I have written about Eurodeterrence. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...
03.04.2025 16:18 — 👍 27 🔁 13 💬 3 📌 0
Director, Global Risk at Federation of American Scientists, former Sr. Dir NSC, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists (doomsday clock setter). Pope of Chili Town. No #manels, Yankees/Gunners.
Russia's foreign & security policy | Middle East | Director for Eurasia
@JamesMartinCNS & Snr. Associate @CSIS | PhD Oxford Uni. | Berlin-based | Currently writing a book on Russia for W. W. Norton & Co. | Personal views
Modern Warfare | Defense & Military Analyst | Author of ‚How the United States Would Fight China: The Risks of Pursuing a Rapid Victory‘ (September 2025) Link: https://www.gady-consulting.com/
Deputy Director, Fondation pour la recherche stratégique.
Non-Resident Fellow, Institut Montaigne.
Geopolitics, strategy and stuff.
Personal account.
b.tertrais@frstrategie.org
Books: tinyurl.com/bdzbxnyx
Co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment For International Peace. I spend a lot of time thinking about nuclear weapons, advanced nonnuclear technology, and escalation.
Research Division Asia, German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP)
trying to make sense of China and the Indo-Pacific or life, the universe and everything
Außenminister der Bundesrepublik Deutschland | Foreign Minister of the Federal Republic of Germany
DW chief international editor, based in Berlin
Professor of International Relations at Erasmus University Rotterdam, affiliated with Charles University in Prague. VU Amsterdam, EUI, CISAC, WIAS-alum. Nuclear weapons | foreign policy | CEE
Europe and Nato Correspondent for ARD in Brussels. Radio & tagesschau.de. Podcast punktEU. Science Policy Fellow Mercator. My views only.
Doctoral Research Fellow at the Oslo Nuclear Project, University of Oslo. Defense policy, missile technology, and nuclear strategy.
Weekly analysis of missile tech, nuclear strategy, and European deterrence 👇
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pers acct. MIT CNSP Senior Nuclear Fellow @ssp-mit.bsky.social fmr NSC46, State Dept. nukes, nonpro, arms control. Husband + suburban dad. All tweets/rt are my views alone.
https://strategicsimplicity.substack.com/
Professorin für Internationale Beziehungen @goetheuni @normativeorders, Direktorin @priforg und Sprecherin @fgz_risc; hier privat unterwegs.
Strategist, Leader & Author | Retd Army Major General | Senior Fellow in Military Studies @LowyInstitute | @CSIS | Modern & Future war studies | Futura Doctrina substack | #BannedInRussia
Bluesky Account von Außenministerin a. D.
Annalena Baerbock
PhD in political science, studying infosec, cyber conflict & information war at IFSH. Self-taught hacker & blue team.
Blog and podcast about my work over at https://percepticon.de or https://ioc.exchange/@percepticon
Associate Prof of Modern North American History at the University of Oslo, Norway. Nuclear strategy and arms control.
Wissenschaftlicher Mitarbeiter
https://www.hamburg-armscontrol.de/en/staff/timur-kadyshev-2/
IFSH https://bsky.app/profile/ifshhamburg.bsky.social
All views mine. RTs/Likes mean I found it interesting, not that I agree.
Profile photo ©IFSH
Former think tanker and lecturer on strategy and nuclear weapons, turned bureaucrat. Views are my own.
Defence Editor at The Economist.
Visiting Fellow at Department of War Studies, KCL. For speaking engagements: https://chartwellspeakers.com/speaker/shashank-joshi
