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Patrick Osgood

@patrickosgood.bsky.social

MENA geopolitical risk | one warm day is all I really need | usual caveats re β™₯️ & πŸ”

1,763 Followers  |  463 Following  |  1,010 Posts  |  Joined: 06.10.2023  |  2.2569

Latest posts by patrickosgood.bsky.social on Bluesky

The thing about Palmer Luckey promising AI weapons to defeat China in an invasion of Taiwan is that he's an AI salesman pretending to be a uniquely capable defense contractor in an entire industry of AI salesmen whose industrial origin is a by-product of missile development. He's unique in tone only

05.08.2025 20:39 β€” πŸ‘ 73    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 0
Le Monde MERCREDI 6 AOUT 202

24| IDÉES Elie Barnavi et Vincent Lemire sans des sanctions immédiates contre Israel, cest un cimetiere

Le Monde MERCREDI 6 AOUT 202 24| IDÉES Elie Barnavi et Vincent Lemire sans des sanctions immédiates contre Israel, cest un cimetiere

Former Israeli ambassador to France, Professor Elie Barnavi, and historian @vincentlemaire.bsky.social write in Le Monde, following Macron's recognition of a Palestinian state.

"Mr President, if immediate sanctions are not imposed on Israel, you will end up recognising a cemetery."

05.08.2025 20:49 β€” πŸ‘ 164    πŸ” 87    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 5

Will anyone notice?

05.08.2025 17:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Labour government less popular than stubbing your toe on a block of herpes

05.08.2025 13:08 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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"It's just fields and fields of gray ash."

www.instagram.com/reel/DM8H5L2...

05.08.2025 04:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1151    πŸ” 827    πŸ’¬ 52    πŸ“Œ 88

He thinks that getting the keys to run the shop means he owns the shop. A boundless maw.

05.08.2025 12:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Article's prescription is to pause militarily to minimally stabilize the humanitarian situation while trying to jam Israel's preferred ceasefire terms on Hamas; if Hamas resists, Israel renews the war with improved political standing internationally.

05.08.2025 12:38 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Brett McGurk apparently feels strongly that Israel should continue its war of extermination:

04.08.2025 14:24 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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The covert trip by Iranian nuclear experts to Russia An Iranian delegation visited Russian scientific institutes that produce dual-use technologies β€” components with potential applications in nuclear weapons research

FT exposes Russian cooperation with Iran in pursuit of dual-use nuclear technology.

Essential reading to understand Iranian efforts to acquire the tools, expertise and material to make and amplify the power of nuclear bombs.

Ace reporting by @miles-johnson.bsky.social and @maxseddon.bsky.social

05.08.2025 09:21 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2
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This is no more a story than if Mr Kipling had warned we were in danger of not eating enough cake

05.08.2025 08:56 β€” πŸ‘ 773    πŸ” 143    πŸ’¬ 74    πŸ“Œ 17

Brett McGurk writing this is like the Zodiac Killer sending taunting letters to the police.

05.08.2025 08:48 β€” πŸ‘ 60    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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I saw many atrocities as a senior aid official in Gaza. Now Israeli authorities are trying to silence us Devastated hospitals, mass graves, bodies eaten by dogs in the street. After speaking out, I discovered my visa will not be renewed, says Jonathan Whittall of UN OCHA

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

05.08.2025 08:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hi, former Foreign Service Officer here

The Secretary of State might be interested to learn that visa requirements and terms are generally reciprocal. We do it to them, they do it to us.

05.08.2025 01:50 β€” πŸ‘ 6941    πŸ” 1876    πŸ’¬ 389    πŸ“Œ 126

This is a key table to understanding public opinion on migration. *When confronted with the real trade offs* people go for protecting the NHS and the economy over reducing migration.

The problem as per the rest of the thread is many don't believe those trade offs exist.

05.08.2025 08:19 β€” πŸ‘ 711    πŸ” 276    πŸ’¬ 37    πŸ“Œ 16

The Money Laundering and Fraud party

05.08.2025 07:37 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This can all - whatever the truth of it - be dealt with under the ordinary criminal law. The lie is given when Cooper without being prompted says this is not about Palestine, Gaza etc.

05.08.2025 07:32 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Jake Sullivan: β€œ"Israel's leaders are pursuing an open-ended military campaign that is returning negligible, essentially imperceptible, operational gains at the cost of inflicting an ongoing humanitarian catastrophe-grievous death and sufferingβ€” on innocent Palestinians.”

Jake Sullivan: β€œ"Israel's leaders are pursuing an open-ended military campaign that is returning negligible, essentially imperceptible, operational gains at the cost of inflicting an ongoing humanitarian catastrophe-grievous death and sufferingβ€” on innocent Palestinians.”

In all God’s creation, is there a big enough hot dog costume for Jake Sullivan, Kissinger Professor of the Practice of Statecraft and World Order at the Harvard Kennedy School

05.08.2025 06:56 β€” πŸ‘ 131    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 4
47% of people think immigration is primarily illegal. There were 4% irregular arrivals in March

47% of people think immigration is primarily illegal. There were 4% irregular arrivals in March

New YouGov polling. A monumental failure of our political class to educate, a monumental failure of our media to report fairly, for a generation

05.08.2025 06:27 β€” πŸ‘ 4785    πŸ” 1938    πŸ’¬ 283    πŸ“Œ 242

NYT pantsed by the Crimson

A+

05.08.2025 01:07 β€” πŸ‘ 818    πŸ” 147    πŸ’¬ 17    πŸ“Œ 3
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The AI bubble is so big it's propping up the US economy (for now) Plus how American professors are fighting back against the AI onslaught, a backlash over AI models in Vogue, and more.

Analysts show that capital expenditures on AI were so big over the last 6 months they added more to the GDP than *all consumer spending*. That growth is offsetting pain from the tariffs and slow job growth.

So the AI bubble may be propping up the whole US economy. What happens if and when it pops?

04.08.2025 17:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2119    πŸ” 754    πŸ’¬ 93    πŸ“Œ 310
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Benjamin Netanyahu decides on full Gaza occupation, PMO says | The Jerusalem Post The Prime Minister's Office conveyed the message to IDF chief, saying If this does not suit you, then you should resign.

Horrifying, I have no words. Except that, of course, this could have been fully anticipated from the day this "war" began.

October 7th is the best thing that ever happened to Netanyahu.

04.08.2025 20:36 β€” πŸ‘ 501    πŸ” 158    πŸ’¬ 28    πŸ“Œ 21
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Brazil’s supreme court judge orders house arrest of ex-president Jair Bolsonaro Bolsonaro accused of breaking β€˜preventative measures’ imposed amid concerns of avoiding penalty over alleged coup attempt A Brazilian supreme court judge has ordered the house arrest of former president Jair Bolsonaro for allegedly breaching β€œpreventative measures” which were imposed amid concerns the far-right leader might abscond to avoid punishment over an alleged coup attempt. According to the ruling on Monday by Justice Alexandre de Moraes, Bolsonaro breached a ban on using social media which was imposed last month, when he was also ordered to wear an electronic ankle tag. Continue reading...

Brazil’s supreme court judge orders house arrest of ex-president Jair Bolsonaro

04.08.2025 22:09 β€” πŸ‘ 610    πŸ” 138    πŸ’¬ 30    πŸ“Œ 37
04.08.2025 21:09 β€” πŸ‘ 9119    πŸ” 1674    πŸ’¬ 452    πŸ“Œ 114
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This is amongst the most impactful two minutes of broadcasting I’ve ever seen.

By Emma Murphy, International Editor, ITV News. #Gaza

04.08.2025 21:52 β€” πŸ‘ 4051    πŸ” 2981    πŸ’¬ 147    πŸ“Œ 381
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Netanyahu vows to occupy Gaza as U.S. touts β€˜all or nothing’ hostage plan President Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff announced the end of β€˜piecemeal’ ceasefire negotiations, as Hamas released hostage videos and Israel’s leader digs in for another offensive.

Negotiations over a Gaza ceasefire appear to have reached an end as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu indicated he plans to expand military operations to occupy the entire Gaza Strip.

05.08.2025 00:12 β€” πŸ‘ 53    πŸ” 36    πŸ’¬ 29    πŸ“Œ 15

The dead have a right to remain dead. An animated skin put over a computer model and given the same name as the dead son of grieving parents is a cursed golem and a full delusion. By interviewing the computer model, Acosta has asked us to accept this as true or real. Gun control deserves better.

04.08.2025 19:38 β€” πŸ‘ 1954    πŸ” 360    πŸ’¬ 34    πŸ“Œ 39

They love him! The meat of this article makes clear these deals are stupid and the purported gains are illusory, but it’s framed up in the usual Masterful Gambit Sir nonsense

04.08.2025 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is related, is a strange way, because they both involve powerful people breaking the rules with impunity. I don't understand why the Tesla lawyer hasn't been referred to their regulator, and why Tesla isn't facing massive fines for contempt of court.
bsky.app/profile/carl...

04.08.2025 17:45 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1
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Many Jewish Voters Back Mamdani. And Many Agree With Him on Gaza.

It's very significant that The New York Times is acknowledging both that a) many Jewish New Yorkers support Zohran Mamdani and b) many Jewish New Yorkers don't see criticism of Israel as being antisemitic. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/04/n...

04.08.2025 15:19 β€” πŸ‘ 318    πŸ” 68    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 9

I would guess that's what recommends this programβ€”it's like aiming neutron bombs at the bluest parts of the country

04.08.2025 14:03 β€” πŸ‘ 113    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 1

@patrickosgood is following 20 prominent accounts