Matteo Giuliani Pedraza

Done it! It is impossible to do it without developing hypotheses. My siblings and I have a whole set of theories for the interaction between gender, cat-dog feelings, and self reported cookie eating capacity.

Your students will have so much fun!

The @epssnet.bsky.social call for the 2026 conference in Belfast opened today! 😮

epssnet.org/belfast-2026...

Deadline: 7 November 2025

The old party is dying. The new party struggles to be born. Now is the time of Schumers.

Even in times of sociocultural conflict, a progressive left electorate is more averse to sociocultural *and* socioeconomic inequalities than (far) right voters.

New paper with @siljahausermann.bsky.social Palmtag @tabouchadi.bsky.social @stefwalter.bsky.social Berkinshaw
tinyurl.com/d42wyb79

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I like the metaphor, but a difference, which gives me hope, is that the kind of products AI seeks to replace are not consumed by use.
You may drink a good coffee and the next guy may chose to make insta coffee to save time.
But when you read a good book, the book is still there for the next reader.

a good diff in diff without a formal theory model delivers a casual causal estimate

Marcel Duchamp lounges in an easy chair behind a modernist chess set, smiling at the camera and holding a cigar.

Marcel Duchamp, born July 28, 1887, loved chess as much as he loved art. My favorite thing about this photo (by Mark Kauffman for Life magazine) is that Duchamp has a modernist chess set for show, but you can see over his shoulder that he has a Staunton set for business.

If this is true (I don't think we fully know if the EU public feels humiliated by this deal - also partly because we just don't know much about it! - but happy to entertain):

let's then remind the public that they voted for people that wanted the European leaders to get to that.

Tom Lehrer would have been intensely amused that he outlived the author of his NYT obituary.

Well, my perception as an observer, not as researcher, was that this kind of illiberal discourse has become quite common in the media post COVID, so I am preemptively convinced by your hypothesis :).

Either way, thankyou for the great work, and congrats.

Looking forward to that next episode.

This is very interesting, and intuitively (and retrospectively) quite reasonable. I mean, it people who reject democratic partisan conflict, and thus democracy, may view themselves as centrist (legend has it that Franco used to tell his cabinet "Do like me, do not get into politics").

Frontiers | A future of authoritarian citizens? Explaining why Spanish youth are losing faith in democracy This article examines why Spanish young people support democracy to a lesser extent than younger generations decades ago: while youth in previous decades sho...

Diffuse support for democracy has usually been understood as a stable attitude, key for democracy to work. Now, @irenejbravo.bsky.social‬ and I observe a notable shift among Spanish youth. Here, we post the main findings a recent article that can be read here: doi.org/10.3389/fpos...

Where has everyone gone? Depopulation and voting behaviour in Spain In many European countries, people increasingly leave rural or small municipalities to live and work in urban or metropolitan environments. Although previous work on the ‘left behind’ places has exam...

I take this opportunity today to make my debut in Bluesky by sharing my latest article with @tonirodon.bsky.social and Maria on a very special day. A few months ago we published "Where has everyone gone? Depopulation and voting behaviour" in EJPR.

ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

1.Qh7+ - Kf8
2. Qh8+-Bxh8
3. Rxh8+ - Kg7
4.Nf5++

Took me a bit to realize that you could do the las move with double check so that the bishop could not be captured.

Very interesting looking article that seems to support my long-lasting theory that vulnerability (in this case, vulnerability to big biz competition) is actually a double-edged sword in politics

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

I was on this completely lost position (pictured left), kept playing out of spite and a few moves later stumbled upone this mate in four position (pictured right) and I think that winning this way made me happier that if I had just won a normal and well deserved victory.

What if you only care about a very specific information (e. g. a minute methodological specification) that would not make it to the abstract.

Well, I guess that you could use LLMs for a search within the document, but it is not clear to me that it beats 'skimming the appropriate section'.
🧵2/2

Also, the obsession with "ah, but you can ask the LLM to summarise the article for you" continues to baffle me. We already had article summaries thanks to an efficient and well tested technology called 'abstracts'.
🧵1/2

It is very hard to see how the UK government can sign this statement, which makes it absolutely clear that it recognises that Israel is committing - as a matter of state policy - deliberate and systematic war crimes, without at a minimum cutting all military cooperation with Israel.

Downward Mobility and Far-Right Party Support: Broad Evidence - Alan M. Jacobs, Mark A. Kayser, 2025 Much debate has centered on the relative effects of economic and cultural factors on support for far-right parties. Recent work, however, has proposed a synthes...

Intergenerational occupational mobility influences far-right support across both countries and time but only downward mobility matters in a correctly estimated model. Happy to see this work with @alanjacobs.bsky.social appearing in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

Why do young Chinese join the Communist Party? For many, it’s practical. Membership in the Chinese Communist Party has become a sticking point for the Trump administration. But many join for professional over political reasons.

I was interviewed by the @washingtonpost.com on who applies vs. gets selected to become member of the Chinese Communist Party, and on the reasons for young social elites not to join the party.

Nd1 in order to atack the e3 pawn. Ended up winning due to mistakes by black later on in the game.

Saw Nb5, but I conviced my self that there had to be some hidden reason why it did not work.

Yes! Very well!!

Then black has to sacrifice the rook to deal with the promoted pawn and it ends up in a Night and two pawns vs 4 pawns, which is kind off drawn, but given the circumstances is the BEST that White can get.

It looks good, but after 1 Ne4-Ke5; 2. Kxe3 comes 2 ...- Kxd5, and suddenly the pawns in the c and d files will start to fall, and the Knight is pinned.

The only move (which I didn't found during the game) is a bit less intuitive (I won't tell you just in case you want to keep looking).

Chess position on a lichess board, the FEN is: 4r3/2P3pp/p1Pp1k2/3P4/P7/2N1p1P1/4K3/8 w - - 4 37

Just found myself here. White (me) to move. Whats the best and only none losing move and how certain are you that you would have played during a game?

Back home.

Tired but very happy with this first time experience. So many people doing so many interesting things in european political science, what else could one ask for?

A little bit nervous with the prospect of presenting my work, but looking at the program for EPSA next week in Madrid i see so many nice people to meet again and so many interesting presentations to hear that I really look foward to it.

I have been staying away from purely political posts but the attack on Wikipedia is more than I can bear. Wikipedia is the most valuable intellectual resource of the internet era. The MAGA crowd is not just against science, it is against knowledge.

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