Matteo Giuliani Pedraza's Avatar

Matteo Giuliani Pedraza

@mattgiulp.bsky.social

Did a master in Social Sciences at UC3M. Now doing a PhD at the Universidad Pablo de Olavide. Trying to figure out something about political parties, referenda, national identities... that kind of stuff. A chess player by passion, not by talent or skill.

1,146 Followers  |  778 Following  |  81 Posts  |  Joined: 21.10.2024  |  2.0531

Latest posts by mattgiulp.bsky.social on Bluesky

Not a very sophisticated solution, but maybe just graphing the 'live' rating at the end of each chapter or book (or however you call the parts the illiad is divided in, I don't know the word in English). That way one could easily see where each hero ranked at the time of his death.

03.10.2025 11:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Enhorabuena Tarek!!

08.09.2025 13:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Really good and really really interesting.

To a large extent, it goes against my expectations, and yet it does cover it's bases well enough that I may have to accept that maybe norms are a bigger part of the far right story than what I initially thought.

08.09.2025 13:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Radical right accommodation really does not work.

New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk

doi.org/10.31235/osf...

05.09.2025 06:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2175    ๐Ÿ” 987    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 58    ๐Ÿ“Œ 172
Selection bias plane.

Selection bias plane.

Ada: Somehow I always hurt only my most sensitive body parts!

Me: Okay kid, itโ€™s time we have The Talkโ€”

31.08.2025 13:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 93    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
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Et voila! Case proven.
#solar

30.08.2025 08:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 770    ๐Ÿ” 317    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 28    ๐Ÿ“Œ 33

Congratulations! I truly enjoyed the reading. I do hope that the final plea for further research gets followed up, it looks like lots of interesting things may come out of this.

28.08.2025 16:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Iโ€™m very excited to share that my paper โ€œCleavage theory meets civil society: A framework and research agendaโ€ with @eborbath.bsky.social & Swen Hutter has now been published online in โ€ช@wepsocial.bsky.socialโ€ฌ (w/ open access funding thanks to @wzb.bsky.socialโ€ฌ!)

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

28.08.2025 13:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 111    ๐Ÿ” 35    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8    ๐Ÿ“Œ 7

Absolutely, I am ready even to buy some story closer to the original claim. Maybe Democrats are actively doing something that creates that perception, I just need to see some evidence to support that claim. And them some more showing that this supposed halo of wokness is bad at the ballotbox.

28.08.2025 01:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It is amazing how often "bad things are the fault of the left for being too woke" is presented as a default truth, with out need for any logical or empirical support.

27.08.2025 23:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Of course, the good bigot knows how to use any small and apparently neutral cognitive bias such this in order to build his castle of biggotry.
๐Ÿงต2/2

26.08.2025 11:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I do not remember who I read saying that humans only understand three probabilities: 0%, 50% and 100%.

This statement (I don't know how well founded) is consistent with the anecdotal evidence I have encountered ever since.

I believe it also applies to fractions and continous distributions.
๐Ÿงต1/2

26.08.2025 11:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Does reasoning well entail being a basically pleasant bureucrat?

21.08.2025 14:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It's quite funny that fairly early in its history philosophy invented writing well (Plato) and reasoning well (Aristotle) and made it clear you can only do one; subsequently clarifying that we'll typically do neither.

21.08.2025 05:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 274    ๐Ÿ” 42    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

I think I have access, which article do you need?

21.08.2025 13:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"Overall, our findings suggest a โ€œratchet-effectโ€ heuristic: left parties may still push back against rising disparities but have given up on lowering existing levels of inequality. To us, the findings imply lock-in effects [...]"

16.08.2025 12:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Federal court refuses to block Alabamaโ€™s โ€œdivisive conceptsโ€ law, says university faculty classroom speech is government speech with no First Amendment protection. This dangerous development allows lawmakers to dictate what professors say in class. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

14.08.2025 12:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 958    ๐Ÿ” 462    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 53    ๐Ÿ“Œ 107

Done it! It is impossible to do it without developing hypotheses. My siblings and I have a whole set of theories for the interaction between gender, cat-dog feelings, and self reported cookie eating capacity.

Your students will have so much fun!

10.08.2025 22:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cuttingโ€‘edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.

The @epssnet.bsky.social call for the 2026 conference in Belfast opened today! ๐Ÿ˜ฎ

epssnet.org/belfast-2026...

Deadline: 7 November 2025

31.07.2025 12:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 37    ๐Ÿ” 21    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

The old party is dying. The new party struggles to be born. Now is the time of Schumers.

29.07.2025 13:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 26    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Even in times of sociocultural conflict, a progressive left electorate is more averse to sociocultural *and* socioeconomic inequalities than (far) right voters.

New paper with @siljahausermann.bsky.social Palmtag @tabouchadi.bsky.social @stefwalter.bsky.social Berkinshaw
tinyurl.com/d42wyb79

1/n

29.07.2025 12:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 87    ๐Ÿ” 32    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

I like the metaphor, but a difference, which gives me hope, is that the kind of products AI seeks to replace are not consumed by use.
You may drink a good coffee and the next guy may chose to make insta coffee to save time.
But when you read a good book, the book is still there for the next reader.

29.07.2025 09:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

a good diff in diff without a formal theory model delivers a casual causal estimate

28.07.2025 12:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 19    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Marcel Duchamp lounges in an easy chair behind a modernist chess set, smiling at the camera and holding a cigar.

Marcel Duchamp lounges in an easy chair behind a modernist chess set, smiling at the camera and holding a cigar.

Marcel Duchamp, born July 28, 1887, loved chess as much as he loved art. My favorite thing about this photo (by Mark Kauffman for Life magazine) is that Duchamp has a modernist chess set for show, but you can see over his shoulder that he has a Staunton set for business.

28.07.2025 13:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If this is true (I don't think we fully know if the EU public feels humiliated by this deal - also partly because we just don't know much about it! - but happy to entertain):

let's then remind the public that they voted for people that wanted the European leaders to get to that.

28.07.2025 11:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Tom Lehrer would have been intensely amused that he outlived the author of his NYT obituary.

28.07.2025 02:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 221    ๐Ÿ” 32    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Well, my perception as an observer, not as researcher, was that this kind of illiberal discourse has become quite common in the media post COVID, so I am preemptively convinced by your hypothesis :).

Either way, thankyou for the great work, and congrats.

Looking forward to that next episode.

27.07.2025 09:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is very interesting, and intuitively (and retrospectively) quite reasonable. I mean, it people who reject democratic partisan conflict, and thus democracy, may view themselves as centrist (legend has it that Franco used to tell his cabinet "Do like me, do not get into politics").

27.07.2025 09:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Frontiers | A future of authoritarian citizens? Explaining why Spanish youth are losing faith in democracy This article examines why Spanish young people support democracy to a lesser extent than younger generations decades ago: while youth in previous decades sho...

Diffuse support for democracy has usually been understood as a stable attitude, key for democracy to work. Now, @irenejbravo.bsky.socialโ€ฌ and I observe a notable shift among Spanish youth. Here, we post the main findings a recent article that can be read here: doi.org/10.3389/fpos...

27.07.2025 07:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
Preview
Where has everyone gone? Depopulation and voting behaviour in Spain In many European countries, people increasingly leave rural or small municipalities to live and work in urban or metropolitan environments. Although previous work on the โ€˜left behindโ€™ places has exam...

I take this opportunity today to make my debut in Bluesky by sharing my latest article with @tonirodon.bsky.social and Maria on a very special day. A few months ago we published "Where has everyone gone? Depopulation and voting behaviour" in EJPR.

ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

28.09.2024 12:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 32    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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