Justin Bloesch's Avatar

Justin Bloesch

@justinbloesch.bsky.social

Assistant Professor at Cornell. Macro, labor, inequality. "Bloesch" rhymes with "mesh".

481 Followers  |  137 Following  |  99 Posts  |  Joined: 10.07.2023  |  2.128

Latest posts by justinbloesch.bsky.social on Bluesky

There is no world where Congress asserts its constitutional prerogatives but can't legislate on a simple majority basis.

There is no world of effective federal governance where Dems can't integrate executive action with legislative backing.

31.10.2025 14:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump Calls on Republicans to End Filibuster in Shutdown Fight

I cannot emphasize how much more credibility Dem campaigns and policy planning would have in a world without the filibuster. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/31/u...

31.10.2025 14:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 20    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Good. The filibuster needed to die a long time ago.

29.10.2025 14:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Justice Kavanaugh: "and those individuals may promptly go free after making clear to the immigration officers that they are U.S. citizens or otherwise legally in the United States."

28.10.2025 23:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2705    ๐Ÿ” 1299    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 17    ๐Ÿ“Œ 46

Turns out that if the 10y and mortgage rates fall due to a softening job market, it actually doesnโ€™t help demand for houses that much.

28.10.2025 13:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โ€œ.. In the first half of this year, the Trump Organizationโ€™s income soared 17-fold to $864 million ..

โ€œ.. more than 90% .. came from Trump crypto ventures, including sales of World Liberty tokens.โ€

@reuters.com $WLFI
www.reuters.com/investigatio...

28.10.2025 10:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 883    ๐Ÿ” 408    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 69    ๐Ÿ“Œ 73

I know this is obvious. And I know we all know this.
But if the President can raise taxes because an advert annoyed him, without even consulting Congress, then the US constitution is simply not functioning as intended.

26.10.2025 08:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 15071    ๐Ÿ” 3622    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 549    ๐Ÿ“Œ 173

There are so many crazy nonsense going on so many fronts - but you know having billionaires pay the salaries of US Army (without any input from US Congress) - like WTAF we are even doing here?

24.10.2025 18:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 144    ๐Ÿ” 61    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 13    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

there are good & worthwhile historical & legal arguments for why the unitary executive is nonsense but to my mind the most straightforward argument is that it makes no logical sense that the president has absolute removal power over the people whose job it is to keep the executive branch accountable

21.10.2025 22:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5064    ๐Ÿ” 1132    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 76    ๐Ÿ“Œ 29

the discourse on this seems to keep returning to the whole "she's the deciding vote in l'affaire Epstein files" but I think the thing we should emphasize in Johnson's refusal to seat a duly-elected Democrat is the whole part where he's refusing to seat a duly-elected Democrat

21.10.2025 23:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 82    ๐Ÿ” 19    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Millionaire Tax That Inspired Mamdani Fuels $5.7 Billion Haul in Massachusetts A millionaire levy in Massachusetts that New York City mayoral frontrunner Zohran Mamdani holds up as a model for taxing the rich has generated $3 billion more in revenue than expected without forcing...

WELL HOW ABOUT THAT

"A millionaire levy in Massachusetts has generated $3 billion more in revenue than expected without forcing significant high-profile departures from the state."

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

21.10.2025 15:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 14280    ๐Ÿ” 4939    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 273    ๐Ÿ“Œ 435

DHS has been lying about this shooting of an American citizen. ๐Ÿงต

19.10.2025 12:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 202    ๐Ÿ” 72    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If you make a NFT of an Argentine Peso, and the Peso itself gets destroyed in a massive devaluation, you still have the same asset.

Because the token still exists and is in limited supply just as before. Nothing has changed.

What NFT is doing to the concept of Peso, few understand

17.10.2025 23:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 22    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

โ€œA June study found that Iowa, North Dakota and West Virginia employ the highest percentage of healthcare workers with H-1B visas.โ€ www.beckershospitalreview.com/quality/hosp...

17.10.2025 13:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Wow, wow, wow. This has always been legally possible but the law has virtually never been enforced โ€” and now this is the SECOND case I've heard of in the last month (first involving a person with a green card) of a noncitizen being charged for failure to carry their papers.

13.10.2025 18:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3000    ๐Ÿ” 1346    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 95    ๐Ÿ“Œ 86
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Federal immigration officers wear masks, no name tags โ€” now some drive cars without license plates The Sun-Times has documented four unmarked cars carrying federal officers without required plates, offering another way to shield their identities. Federal officials say theyโ€™re meeting regulations.

โ€œThe Sun-Times has documented four unmarked cars carrying federal officers without required plates, offering another way to shield their identities. Federal officials say theyโ€™re meeting regulations.โ€

12.10.2025 00:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 509    ๐Ÿ” 252    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 32    ๐Ÿ“Œ 16

Over 40% of corn grown in Indiana is used to make ethanol that cars burn. One acre of corn yields about 16,500 vehicle-miles per year of ethanol, which sounds high until you realize that one acre of solar yields about 2,700,000 vehicle-miles per year: 16,000% more driving for a given plot of land.

09.10.2025 20:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1180    ๐Ÿ” 461    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 40    ๐Ÿ“Œ 50

Picture how big the Hoover Dam is. An absolute unit. The Hoover Dam has a power capacity of 2 gigawatts (GW).

The solar farm that the Admin just cancelled could have produces 6.2 GW of power. That's more than 3 Hoover Dams.

10.10.2025 04:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4626    ๐Ÿ” 2343    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 125    ๐Ÿ“Œ 93
Preview
New York Attorney General Letitia James, a Trump foe, is indicted by Trumpโ€™s DOJ She has been charged with one count of bank fraud by the same U.S. attorney who brought charges against James Comey.

A sham case that should embarrass everyone involved if they had any integrity

www.politico.com/news/2025/10...

09.10.2025 21:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 45    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

๐Ÿšจ Hiring Tenure-Track Assistant Professors in Econ at the University of Copenhagen! ๐Ÿšจ

Join a great group in an exciting (and friendly) city ๐Ÿ˜€! Details will follow.

Pls repost and get in touch to hear more. All fields, and Iโ€™m esp. interested in hearing from DEV candidates ๐Ÿ˜€!

#EconSky

30.09.2025 07:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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US import taxes are ramping up more slowly than they are announced, suggesting that the impact on the economy will arrive at a delay. Numbers released yesterday indicate that the collected US tariff rate climbed to 11.2% in August, below the 16.5-17.5% terminal level expected under current policy:

26.09.2025 11:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 115    ๐Ÿ” 32    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
Top 10 American Fears of 2024 (Chapman Survey)
Horizontal bar chart ranking the top fears of Americans (percentage โ€œafraidโ€ or โ€œvery afraidโ€):
	1.	Corrupt government officials (65.2%, top fear for years).
	2.	Loved ones becoming seriously ill (58.4%).
	3.	Cyberterrorism (58.3%).
	4.	Loved ones dying (57.8%).
	5.	Russia using nuclear weapons (55.8%).
	6.	Not having enough money for the future (55.7%).
	7.	U.S. becoming involved in another world war (55.0%).
	8.	North Korea using nuclear weapons (55.0%).
	9.	Terrorist attack (52.7%).
	10.	Biological warfare (52.5%).
Red bars display percentages; small arrows indicate change from 2023 rankings.

Top 10 American Fears of 2024 (Chapman Survey) Horizontal bar chart ranking the top fears of Americans (percentage โ€œafraidโ€ or โ€œvery afraidโ€): 1. Corrupt government officials (65.2%, top fear for years). 2. Loved ones becoming seriously ill (58.4%). 3. Cyberterrorism (58.3%). 4. Loved ones dying (57.8%). 5. Russia using nuclear weapons (55.8%). 6. Not having enough money for the future (55.7%). 7. U.S. becoming involved in another world war (55.0%). 8. North Korea using nuclear weapons (55.0%). 9. Terrorist attack (52.7%). 10. Biological warfare (52.5%). Red bars display percentages; small arrows indicate change from 2023 rankings.

Top Public Worries in the U.S. (Yale & GMU poll, May 2025)
Stacked bar chart of worries among U.S. adults. Categories ranked by share โ€œvery worriedโ€:
	โ€ข	Government corruption (54% very worried, top issue).
	โ€ข	Other leading concerns: cost of living (48%), the economy (47%), state of democracy (44%), disruption of federal services (44%), cultural/social divisions (36%), treatment of immigrants (35%), global warming (29%), crime (26%).
	โ€ข	Lower worries include job security (17%), health (16%), and being targeted because of identity/beliefs (15%).
Green shades show โ€œvery/somewhat worried,โ€ yellow/orange shades show โ€œnot very/not at all worried.

Top Public Worries in the U.S. (Yale & GMU poll, May 2025) Stacked bar chart of worries among U.S. adults. Categories ranked by share โ€œvery worriedโ€: โ€ข Government corruption (54% very worried, top issue). โ€ข Other leading concerns: cost of living (48%), the economy (47%), state of democracy (44%), disruption of federal services (44%), cultural/social divisions (36%), treatment of immigrants (35%), global warming (29%), crime (26%). โ€ข Lower worries include job security (17%), health (16%), and being targeted because of identity/beliefs (15%). Green shades show โ€œvery/somewhat worried,โ€ yellow/orange shades show โ€œnot very/not at all worried.

Perceptions of Federal Government Problems (AP-NORC poll)
Bar chart showing the percentage of U.S. adults who consider various issues in the federal government to be a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem.
	โ€ข	Corruption: Overall 70% major, 22% minor, 7% not a problem. Higher among Republicans (78%) than Democrats (63%).
	โ€ข	Inefficiency: 65% major overall, with Republicans (81%) much higher than Democrats (55%).
	โ€ข	Red tape (bureaucracy): 59% major overall, with Republicans (73%) higher than Democrats (47%).
	โ€ข	Civil servants unwilling to implement presidentโ€™s agenda: More partisan splitโ€”Republicans 56% major problem, Democrats 20% major problem; overall 34% major, 36% minor, 28% not a problem.
Title: โ€œMajority of the public believe corruption, inefficiency, and red tape are major problems in the federal government.

Perceptions of Federal Government Problems (AP-NORC poll) Bar chart showing the percentage of U.S. adults who consider various issues in the federal government to be a major problem, minor problem, or not a problem. โ€ข Corruption: Overall 70% major, 22% minor, 7% not a problem. Higher among Republicans (78%) than Democrats (63%). โ€ข Inefficiency: 65% major overall, with Republicans (81%) much higher than Democrats (55%). โ€ข Red tape (bureaucracy): 59% major overall, with Republicans (73%) higher than Democrats (47%). โ€ข Civil servants unwilling to implement presidentโ€™s agenda: More partisan splitโ€”Republicans 56% major problem, Democrats 20% major problem; overall 34% major, 36% minor, 28% not a problem. Title: โ€œMajority of the public believe corruption, inefficiency, and red tape are major problems in the federal government.

Word Cloud of How People Describe American Government (Berkeley Democracy Policy Lab)
Large central word: โ€œCorrupt.โ€ Other prominent words: Broken, Chaotic, Dysfunctional, Shit, Clueless, Divided, Inefficient, Crooked, Hijacked, Justice, Woke, Bloated, Untrustworthy, Hopeless, Frustrated, Disastrous, Messy, Sneaky, Turmoil, Delusional. Smaller scattered words include both negative and neutral terms such as Crap, Important, Poder, Resilient, Unfocused, Needs Help. Visual emphasizes โ€œCorruptโ€ as the dominant public perception.

Word Cloud of How People Describe American Government (Berkeley Democracy Policy Lab) Large central word: โ€œCorrupt.โ€ Other prominent words: Broken, Chaotic, Dysfunctional, Shit, Clueless, Divided, Inefficient, Crooked, Hijacked, Justice, Woke, Bloated, Untrustworthy, Hopeless, Frustrated, Disastrous, Messy, Sneaky, Turmoil, Delusional. Smaller scattered words include both negative and neutral terms such as Crap, Important, Poder, Resilient, Unfocused, Needs Help. Visual emphasizes โ€œCorruptโ€ as the dominant public perception.

Iโ€™m starting to notice a trend in the polling dataโ€ฆ

โ€”Top Public Worry: Corruption

โ€”Biggest problem in Fed Gov: Corruption

โ€”Top fear: Corruption

โ€”What one word would you use to describe American government?: โ€œCorruptโ€

Itโ€™s almost like voters are trying to tell us something.

25.09.2025 20:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2300    ๐Ÿ” 836    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 89    ๐Ÿ“Œ 116

When I say the US has bet its post-pandemic economy on AI while China has bet its on green energy, this is what I mean: Here, AI related companies account for 75% of S&P 500 returns since ChatGPT's launch. In China, green tech accounts for one quarter of GDP growth.

25.09.2025 13:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 716    ๐Ÿ” 240    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 19    ๐Ÿ“Œ 48
Georgiaโ€™s Medicaid Work Requirement Program Spent Twice as Much on Administrative Costs as on Health Care, GAO Says
Republican lawmakers cite Georgiaโ€™s Pathways to Coverage as a national model for federal Medicaid work requirements that are set to take effect in 2027. A new report shows the program has spent at least $54 million on administrative costs alone.

Georgiaโ€™s Medicaid Work Requirement Program Spent Twice as Much on Administrative Costs as on Health Care, GAO Says Republican lawmakers cite Georgiaโ€™s Pathways to Coverage as a national model for federal Medicaid work requirements that are set to take effect in 2027. A new report shows the program has spent at least $54 million on administrative costs alone.

#priorities
www.propublica.org/article/geor...

25.09.2025 09:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 84    ๐Ÿ” 35    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 7
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Opinion | This Is About So Much More Than Lisa Cook

to me, the โ€œcolumnโ€ is less a form than an opportunity (and a challenge). youโ€™re telling me i have as much space as iโ€™d like to make an argument about anything iโ€™d like to an audience inclined to pay close attention? well letโ€™s see if theyโ€™ll read 2000 words on democratic legitimacy. (gift link)

24.09.2025 10:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4473    ๐Ÿ” 1053    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 74    ๐Ÿ“Œ 87
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The Fedโ€™s Rate Path Is Too Cautious to Fix Housing Growing pessimism about a rebound is taking hold among companies tied to residential construction.

Me in @opinion.bloomberg.com: The data and commentary weโ€™ve gotten from the residential construction industry this month have arguably been the worst since the pandemic, with companies signaling production and more job cuts over the next few months: www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

24.09.2025 11:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 39    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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My book, a labor of love, with 15 years of my own research and the stories of countless women, is out today!! I document why women's time has gotten so squeezed, and then provide actionable, evidence-based strategies on what we can do about it! So many people on here did the research in the book! ๐Ÿ™

23.09.2025 18:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 59    ๐Ÿ” 16    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
A graph of monthly solar generation in the US

A graph of monthly solar generation in the US

Official data is in today, and America set a new record-high for solar power in July, with generation up 30% compared to last year!

23.09.2025 16:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 410    ๐Ÿ” 77    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 10

There is no world in which it is normal for the president to publicly call upon his attorney general to hurry up and prosecute his political foes. Itโ€™s like the Watergate tapes but posted on social media. Letโ€™s get a grip on whatโ€™s happening here.

21.09.2025 00:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 59142    ๐Ÿ” 16363    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1345    ๐Ÿ“Œ 634

@justinbloesch is following 20 prominent accounts