Avel Guénin--Carlut's Avatar

Avel Guénin--Carlut

@fluffycyborgii.bsky.social

Researcher in cognitive science, focusing on contextuality in life, mind and society; formalization & application of Active Inference; naturalizing ontology Occasionally schyzoposting on main. There are many occasions

235 Followers  |  308 Following  |  1,436 Posts  |  Joined: 27.12.2023  |  2.0064

Latest posts by fluffycyborgii.bsky.social on Bluesky

Preview
Unveiling a 36 billion solar mass black hole at the centre of the Cosmic Horseshoe gravitational lens ABSTRACT. Supermassive black holes (SMBHs) are found at the centre of every massive galaxy, with their masses tightly connected to their host galaxies thro

🕳️ Record-breaking black hole

Astronomers measured a 36 billion solar mass black hole in the Cosmic Horseshoe lens galaxy, hinting that the largest black holes grow differently from smaller ones.

🔗 academic.oup.com/mnras/articl...

#SciComm 🧪 🔭

09.08.2025 10:21 — 👍 14    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 1
Post image

A weather station in Storforshei, Norway, on the edge of the Arctic Circle, has now hit 30°C (86°F) or greater for 12 consecutive days.

Let that sink in.

24.07.2025 18:31 — 👍 271    🔁 143    💬 2    📌 28

Jesus

09.08.2025 12:47 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Pornographic Taylor Swift deepfakes generated by Musk's Grok AI Grok Imagine's

Musk’s AI generating deep fake Taylor Swift porn www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

09.08.2025 11:34 — 👍 64    🔁 27    💬 21    📌 17

Vous avez vu ? Aux USA il a fallu quelques mois à peine pour que s'installe une dictature suprémaciste blanche dotée d'une police secrète aux moyens infinis et de camps de concentration où les personnes non blanches raflées en pleine rue sont soumises à la torture. À peine QUELQUES MOIS.

09.08.2025 10:19 — 👍 443    🔁 252    💬 17    📌 11

I think if people in this country understood how bad immigration politics have been in europe for the past 25+ years, a lot of comparisons to interwar europe would just seem unnecessary.

08.08.2025 23:46 — 👍 42    🔁 3    💬 5    📌 0

The DEA is as corrupt as it gets AFAIK, just keeping the money flow seems like a much easier option

09.08.2025 01:31 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

And get the US to finally talk themselves into carpet-bombing cartel regions ?

09.08.2025 01:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

What would they use that for ?

09.08.2025 01:27 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

(never mind the fact that p(observation | B) does not help you much to get p(observation | A) when A≠B, but that's another story !)

08.08.2025 23:59 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Back in my days we had math to define accurate estimators !

08.08.2025 23:42 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Honestly I fail to understand where you would get the idea take your actual curve and then make a new curve and run tests on that

08.08.2025 23:42 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Dreamers Face ‘Greatest Threat’ Yet in Trump Immigrant Crackdown The DACA program has survived years of political siege—but recent arrests have dreamers shocked and worried.

Deaf guy tried to show ICE his ID. An agent grabbed it and didn't return it.

So he tried to type a message about his disability but an agent grabbed his phone.

He was left w/ no way to communicate w/ the men seizing him.

He was a DACA recipient (a "dreamer"). He spent nearly a month in detention.

08.08.2025 18:41 — 👍 1085    🔁 529    💬 34    📌 36
Cover page for the manuscript: Morey, R. D., & Davis-Stober, C. P. (2025). On the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2025.2544397

Cover page for the manuscript: Morey, R. D., & Davis-Stober, C. P. (2025). On the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2025.2544397

Abstract for the paper: The P-curve (Simonsohn, Nelson, & Simmons, 2014; Simonsohn, Simmons, & Nelson, 2015) is a widely-used suite of meta-analytic tests advertised for detecting problems in sets of studies. They are based on nonparametric combinations of p values (e.g., Marden, 1985) across significant (p < .05) studies and are variously claimed to detect “evidential value”, “lack of evidential value”, and “left skew” in p values. We show that these tests do not have the properties ascribed to them. Moreover, they fail basic desiderata for tests, including admissibility and monotonicity. In light of these serious problems, we recommend against the use of the P-curve tests.

Abstract for the paper: The P-curve (Simonsohn, Nelson, & Simmons, 2014; Simonsohn, Simmons, & Nelson, 2015) is a widely-used suite of meta-analytic tests advertised for detecting problems in sets of studies. They are based on nonparametric combinations of p values (e.g., Marden, 1985) across significant (p < .05) studies and are variously claimed to detect “evidential value”, “lack of evidential value”, and “left skew” in p values. We show that these tests do not have the properties ascribed to them. Moreover, they fail basic desiderata for tests, including admissibility and monotonicity. In light of these serious problems, we recommend against the use of the P-curve tests.

Paper drop, for anyone interested in #metascience, #statistics, or #metaanalysis! @clintin.bsky.social and I show in a new paper in JASA that the P-curve, a popular forensic meta-analysis method, has deeply undesirable statistical properties. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/?

08.08.2025 18:55 — 👍 190    🔁 92    💬 12    📌 21

This is legitimately insane. It's not an exaggeration to say this is actually a full on bathroom ban for trans people because they're banned from using spaces of their sex assigned at birth too!

08.08.2025 13:39 — 👍 3255    🔁 1110    💬 82    📌 131

And you also have the double prong movement with "well they said you were gifted so no you're actually not struggling" :-)

08.08.2025 17:31 — 👍 7    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
2. Emotionally Limited Parents
Misread Neurodivergence as
Defiance

Neurocomplex traits often get pathologized in emotionally rigid households. Curiosity becomes backtalk. Sensory sensitivity is framed as overreacting. Executive dysfunction gets labeled as laziness.
These misinterpretations aren't just invalidating— they're identity-shaping. Over time, kids absorb the belief that being different equals being difficult.

2. Emotionally Limited Parents Misread Neurodivergence as Defiance Neurocomplex traits often get pathologized in emotionally rigid households. Curiosity becomes backtalk. Sensory sensitivity is framed as overreacting. Executive dysfunction gets labeled as laziness. These misinterpretations aren't just invalidating— they're identity-shaping. Over time, kids absorb the belief that being different equals being difficult.

This is also about school.

08.08.2025 16:19 — 👍 1111    🔁 354    💬 47    📌 87

Would be pretty hard to argue against a "discussing or trying to watch other patrons' genitalia is forbidden in the bathrooms" sign

08.08.2025 16:40 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Will add that if you're not part of a minority group:
a) yes you are, think harder ;
b) if you really are not, they can make up a new one just for you :-)

08.08.2025 16:37 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Anyone who belongs to any minority group needs to be aware that what is being done to trans people can and will be done to them. In a decade we have been stripped of our rights to exist in public spaces by a press campaign and a well funded lobby.

08.08.2025 10:53 — 👍 1970    🔁 715    💬 17    📌 27

His daddy is the MIT. I will not be elaborating at the time.

08.08.2025 15:34 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Precisely. Also suspect he's far to the left of the people who call him a genocide denialist or a pedophile or whatever is this week's mot d'ordre - and I don't mean to say he's far to the left

08.08.2025 15:24 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Yeah. Stancil is a run of the mill liberal with low to no social filter. But Chomsky's politics are in a great part rebranded daddy issues

08.08.2025 15:17 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

Nah, I get the confusion, they're basically the same guy x)

08.08.2025 15:01 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

NB: I was trying to poke fun at the discrepancy that has developed today between far left politics and Evo psy, not make a good faith assessment of the guy

08.08.2025 14:48 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

His politics are a mixed bag tbf. Yeah the genocide denial (and more generally the adolescent "anti-impérialiste") is really *really* **really** bad

08.08.2025 14:46 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Sad to see that Noam "grandfather of the Left" Chomsky was, after, a quite average Evo psy guy

08.08.2025 14:32 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Thanks for pointing that out, I was too lazy to type it

08.08.2025 14:30 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

which is basically what Tomasello 2003 argues--the critical human ability is joint attention, not a "language organ," and everything about human language can be explained in terms of other, preexisting cognitive faculties that come together for language use (like pattern recognition)

08.08.2025 14:04 — 👍 19    🔁 1    💬 4    📌 0

No you can't see my corkscrew wtf is this question

08.08.2025 14:29 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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