Ben Vincent

can't decide whether i love them for sharing Sweet Fire Chicken with us, or hate them for taking it away

prunes

This is the history that people don't want to admit. It's all "hahaha how do you go bankrupt running a casino", but Trump came out of there with more money than he went in, and with the same number of holes in his head, which is not a boast everyone can make. He's declined since, mind.

Information environment has reached its grotesque conclusion in that there is a very real killer out there who has not been identified, apprehended, or investigated, a detail practically inconsequential to nearly every commentator’s purposes.

I see the issue. When we said we would replace human workers with machines you assumed the machines would work. That's on you

The initial estimate of job change for a month is based on the growth or loss of jobs at the businesses that have reported their data. Generally, BLS assumes that the employment situation at businesses that had reported is representative of the situation at those that had not yet reported. BLS continues to collect outstanding reports from the businesses in the sample as it prepares a second and then a third estimate for the month. With each subsequent estimate, more businesses have provided their information. In 2012, the average collection rate at the time of the third estimate for a month was 94.6 percent. (See chart 1.)

Why do the jobs numbers get revised?

our markets and policymakers want data NOW but employer data dribbles in over months

1st estimate is based on the 75% of employers who respond promptly

Updates occur as more data rolls in: 95% response rate by final revision 1/N

www.bls.gov/opub/btn/vol...

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez doing a 1000 yard stare in an interview

>realizing how bad it truly is

We appreciate you Erika.

“I wish it need not have happened in my time,” said Frodo.

“lmao" said Gandalf, “well it has.”

"If you want to tell people the truth, make them laugh. Otherwise they’ll kill you."

-attributed to George Bernard Shaw

mental health break? you bet it did

In the spirit of Mother’s Day, here’s a clip of Björk two-piecing a reporter who was stalking her and her baby.

Out on the town negotiating tariff rates with more than 70 countries. They're all just out of frame, negotiating too.

The average American voter thinks that the government is too big but that it should spend more money on everything it does. This explains a decent share of the political chaos of this country.

I wish more people knew they can just say no and let the unreasonable asker be mad as a hornet.

you can't "claw back" in normal payment systems, what is going on here? somebody at the bank would have to send a separate instruction, and I don't see that there is any way of doing that which wouldn't constitute wire fraud.

“A prophet is not without honor, except in his home town"
-Mark 6:4

you never dropped the fit on us!?

I just saw a post on another app about how “before you let celebrities ask you to rebuild Hollywood, remember the people of Asheville, North Carolina …”

Just don’t do this. Don’t pit disaster survivors against each other. Everyone who’s suffered is worthy and deserving of relief and recovery.

My complaint with AI isn't that I think it'll cause an apocalypse or put everyone out of work. It's that I know what they really want it for, which is to offload responsibility. They want a machine to make the decisions so they, the humans in charge, can't be blamed.

MY DUDE

Online retail sales appear to be settling in the neighborhood of 16% of total retail sales

Great viz of how the consensus forecasts for 2023 GDP growth have moved over the year.

Trend of hybrid/electric market share gains --> projections of slowing per-cap gasoline consumption
Charts from EIA

🤣

schwing!

Most optimism I've come across in a while!

life comes full circle.
20's me: happy to think i'll fly a plane in circles for my entire career
40's me: singlehandedly annihilating the LA aviation industry, by noting that their allocation of government money might have been miscalculated